The U.S. EPA has issued proposed changes to the air toxics rule for cement plants, which would reduce the 2012 worldwide market by $2.1 billion, downgraded from $10.5 billion to $8.4 billion, according to the latest McIlvaine Company forecast.

The impact of the rule is not to eliminate, but to postpone expenditures based on an extension from 2013 to 2015 for compliance with the standard, McIlvaine says. There is no impact on the long-term market for mercury and hydrogen chloride reducing systems, however there are some reductions in the long-term market for hydrocarbon and particulate control based on the following changes and alternative processes for VOC capture.

McIlvaine Kiln Graph

Cement Market
The McIlvaine forecast includes replacement and repairs as well as new capital equipment. The revised forecast is for purchases of $8.4 billion.

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